
Modelling our Changing World
This open access book focuses on the concepts, tools and techniques needed to successfully model ever-changing time-series data. It emphasizes the need for general models to account for the complexities of the modern world and how these can be applied to a range of issues facing Earth, from modelling volcanic eruptions, carbon dioxide emissions and global temperatures, to modelling unemployment rates, wage inflation and population growth. Except where otherwise noted, this book is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0. This open access book focuses on the concepts, tools and techniques needed to successfully model ever-changing time-series data. It emphasizes the need for general models to account for the complexities of the modern world and how these can be applied to a range of issues facing Earth, from modelling volcanic eruptions, carbon dioxide emissions and global temperatures, to modelling unemployment rates, wage inflation and population growth. Except where otherwise noted, this book is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0.
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This open access book focuses on the concepts, tools and techniques needed to successfully model ever-changing time-series data. It emphasizes the need for general models to account for the complexiti
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Dr Castle studied economics at Durham University, before moving to Nuffield College, Oxford University, where she obtained her PhD in Economics. She was awarded a three year British Academy Postdoctoral Research Fellowship at the Department of Economics and Nuffield College, prior to joining Magdalen College as an Economics Fellow in 2009. She is affiliated to the Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School as a Senior Research Fellow in the Economic Modelling Programme.
Jennifer L. Castle

Senior Research Fellow Professor of Economics David F. Hendry, Kt, is Director, Program in Economic Modeling, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, Co-director of Climate Econometrics, Professor of Economics, Oxford University, and Fellow of Nuffield College. He was previously Professor of Econometrics, LSE. He has held visiting appointments at the Cowles Foundation Yale University, University of California at Berkeley and San Diego, Duke University, as well as being Leverhulme Personal Research Professor and ESRC Professorial Research Fellow at the University of Oxford, where he was Chairman of the Economics Department from 2001—2007. His research interests span econometric methods, theory, modelling, and history; computing; empirical economics; macro-econometrics; climate econometrics; and forecasting, on which he has published more than 200 papers and 25 books. He was Knighted in 2009; is an Honorary Vice-President and past President, Royal Economic Society; Fellow, British Academy, Royal Society of Edinburgh, Econometric Society, Academy of Social Sciences, Journal of Econometrics; Founding Fellow, International Association for Applied Econometrics and Honorary Fellow, International Institute of Forecasters; Foreign Honorary Member, American Economic Association and American Academy of Arts and Sciences. He has received eight Honorary Doctorates, a Lifetime Achievement Award from the ESRC, and the Guy Medal in Bronze from the Royal Statistical Society. The ISI lists him as one of the world’s 200 most cited economists and he is a Thomson Reuters Citation Laureate. He founded the Econometrics Journal and has been Econometrics Editor of the Review of Economic Studies and the Economic Journal.
David F. Hendry
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